another somewhat comfortable lead for president obama. probability of his lead is 95.3%. and then in nevada, 49.7%-46.4%, and again 98.1% chance that he actually has got the lead in that state. when you look at 95% and above in the four states that he absolutely has to win--he could lose every other state, florida, virginia, all the other swing states, north carolina, he still gets 277 electoral votes and continues to be president of the united states. so as we get all those national polls that make people panic understand that this is a collection of polls and it doesn't look so bad. it looks pretty good, in fact. now of course, a deal now to cinch the deal in ohio they send bubba.